Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 12.614327 14.780224 17.146667 19.916360 23.060893 26.511652 30.576355
2025-03-16 8.217225 10.949181 14.262366 18.538404 23.869011 30.250538 38.418533
2025-03-23 6.467927 9.538568 13.576176 19.185345 26.673438 36.211844 49.148004
2025-03-30 5.395752 8.669544 13.274046 20.065773 29.640697 42.443090 60.594828
2025-04-06 4.257377 7.428145 12.181806 19.595364 30.580439 45.921823 68.546316
2025-04-13 3.286671 6.217866 10.892812 18.580355 30.513997 47.861706 74.376627
2025-04-20 2.943514 5.944378 10.972338 19.591126 33.460107 54.247094 86.888020
2025-04-27 2.708518 5.805161 11.229525 20.877922 36.902075 61.566517 101.208134
2025-05-04 2.368274 5.403584 10.972273 21.260566 38.904377 66.797646 112.681703
2025-05-11 2.019430 4.913397 10.478292 21.158332 40.065452 70.750559 122.381195
2025-05-18 1.694814 4.403711 9.866356 20.755974 40.648224 73.770702 130.737774
2025-05-25 1.433044 3.972493 9.336027 20.425433 41.295288 76.894753 139.389470
2025-06-01 1.200161 3.572861 8.843220 20.175664 42.188729 80.704776 149.782979
2025-06-08 0.919688 2.987515 7.868546 18.864240 41.031122 80.977985 154.411605
2025-06-15 0.825361 2.857407 7.868597 19.537042 43.681096 88.092988 171.136549
2025-06-22 0.756203 2.778520 7.971580 20.434444 46.837827 96.309712 190.233247
2025-06-29 0.622542 2.472258 7.476428 19.957226 47.197098 99.428142 200.485383
2025-07-06 0.487773 2.115368 6.782535 18.926224 46.301758 100.115045 206.365068
2025-07-13 0.457477 2.095286 6.961992 19.953057 49.811417 109.379220 228.407617
2025-07-20 0.439172 2.112637 7.245505 21.260108 54.022536 120.232184 253.915890
2025-07-27 0.391044 2.004896 7.160732 21.648739 56.252495 127.325839 272.710876
2025-08-03 0.334775 1.845027 6.895044 21.544908 57.369589 132.263451 287.645728
2025-08-10 0.279225 1.665055 6.531892 21.136249 57.746765 135.712023 299.864278